Statistics Colloquium: Dr. Ya'acov Ritov

Univ. of Michigan and the Hebrew Univ. of Jerusalem

Location

Mathematics/Psychology : 103

Date & Time

March 11, 2016, 11:00 am12:00 pm

Description

Title:  Believing and inference from King David to Thomas Bayes


Abstract:  We argue that Bayesian inference in complex models is based on incredible believes which influence in unpredictable ways the conclusion. We demonstrate the argument by theoretical examples, and standard application of Bayesian inference for archaeological data (related to the existence of the United Monarchy). Finally, we contrast the Bayesian approach to empirical Bayes point of view.